The German economy is struggling with inflation and disrupted supply chains. This is shown by a current study: According to the autumn 2022 survey on Rödl
The current index value of the “World Market Leaders Index Germany” reached 43.94 points. In spring 2022 it was still 54.7 points, in autumn 2021 – i.e. a year ago – even 57.76 points.
A partial result: Although many of those surveyed classify the current order intake as “tolerable”, this does not help in view of the massive supply chain problems. The outlook looks correspondingly bleak: the multiple crisis is over
according to the study, will lead to an “extremely explosive” recession. 50 percent of the world market leaders judge the business climate between “bad” and “it couldn’t be worse”. In spring 2022, this share was only 17.2 percent.
Together with the University of St. Gallen, Rödl
When asked: “How do you assess the outlook for your business activities in the international market?”, 38.7 percent answered “weak” or “very weak”. In the spring of 2022, the share was just half as high at 18.8 percent.
However, there are also rays of hope: 61.3 percent of the companies surveyed currently describe the prospects as “stable” and better. In the spring of 2022, this value was higher at 81.2 percent, but not in an unattainable distance. Numerous respondents add to their current assessment with the addition: The future geopolitical situation is crucial. And: If globalization is turned back further, “it looks bad for world market leaders”.
Question: “In which region do you currently see the greatest potential for growth?”
When assessing the attractiveness of target regions, the USA, at 53.2 percent (after 27.4 percent in spring 2022), clearly outperformed the Asia region (37.1 percent after 50 percent in spring 2022). Europe is far behind: currently only 3.2 percent see the old continent as the most attractive economic region – after 17.7 percent in spring 2022.
In view of the accompanying circumstances in Germany, which are perceived as unfavorable, German companies occasionally ask themselves whether they are still in good hands with their company headquarters in Germany. According to Rodl
The study also asked about the assessment of economic and financial policy in Germany. Only 21 percent voted for “satisfactory” and better, after 64.1 percent in spring 2022. “Sufficient” and worse said 79 percent. Here the value in spring 2022 was not even half as high at 35.9 percent. 50.1 percent, i.e. a good half of those surveyed, gave the verdict of “inadequate” and “inadequate”. In the spring of 2022, 20.4 percent made negative comments accordingly.
Expressed in school grades, the result was a new negative record – 4.3 after 3.3 in spring 2022. Specifically, the companies criticize the fact that politicians are imposing too many subsidy packages – at the expense of future generations. One entrepreneur even described the current situation as a “disaster”. His criticism: Nothing is done for small and medium-sized businesses. This could lead to an erosion of Germany as an industrial location. Another point of criticism relates to “rigid and poor administration”. According to individual respondents, there is no long-term security for “our location factors”.
“Our autumn survey of the German world market leaders shows that their mood is bad. They feel left behind and not understood,” explains Prof. Dr. Christian Rödl, CEO of Rödl
Since spring 2018, the German world market leaders have been anonymously asked every six months for their assessments of current economic and financial policy issues. The companies surveyed are only partly listed.
The criteria for participation are:
Goal of the Rödl
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