the Agency raised for Russia, the average wheat harvest of only 1.5 million tons (76.5 million tonnes in July to 78млн tons, excluding Crimea) against the experts expected at least 3 million tons. The same 1.5 million tonnes increased the rating of exports to 37.5 million tons.
overall, the forecast for world wheat production in season 20/21 reduced by almost 3.5 million tons. The greatest reduction of USDA yield forecasts for the EU (minus 4 million tons).
over the past few weeks, the Russian experts have also raised forecasts for the grain harvest. The evaluation of the Director General of the analytical center of “Rusagrotrans” Igor Pavensky, this season Russia can raise to 127.5 million tons of grain is the second best result after the record 135.5 million tonnes in 2017. In particular, the wheat harvest could reach 81 million tons, excluding Crimea – nearly 80.4 million tons. In a record year 2017 in Russia has collected 86 million tons of wheat.
“the USDA underestimates our harvest. The problems of the two regions of the South of Russia and four in Siberia and the Urals kompensiruet records Center and of the Volga. In the Center of the yield above the record 2017, 6 percent, and in the Volga region rose to a level of 2017. It should be noted that this year’s wheat involved, a record since 1982 of the square. According to Rosstat, in 2020 for wheat is given of 29.4 million hectares (1.3 million hectares more than in 2019)”, calculates Pavensky.
According to the Russian Ministry of agriculture, on August 12 grains and legumes harvested from 48 percent of the area, and it is more than at the same date last year. Wheat removed more than half of the area. Its yield exceeds last year’s figures. The Ministry of agriculture of Russia expects that the cleaning staff will take place and forecasts the harvest will be finished, said in early August the Minister of agriculture Dmitry Patrushev. While the Agency did not change its estimate for the harvest of grain – 122,5 million tons.
