Therefore, scientists urge the authorities of the countries of the world very carefully to override the quarantine.
TASS, 8 may. Canadian scientists reviewed the March statistics on the rate of spread of a new type of coronavirus in different regions of the world and came to the conclusion that climate and temperature do not affect the nature of the pandemic — in contrast to the quarantine. Their findings published the Canadian Medical Association Journal.
“the Virus will not go away in the summer, as many hope. It is very important to understand it. On the other hand, our observations show that the rate of spread of the epidemic directly affects the stiffness of the quarantine. While this is the only method of combating the virus, so it is important to support it”, — told Dianna Gesink, an epidemiologist from Western University in London (Canada) and one of the study’s authors.
From the beginning of the outbreak of a new type of coronavirus, the scientists argue, what happens with the spread of the epidemic in the summer when the air temperature in most regions of the planet will increase. Theoretical calculations that scientists have done on the basis of the first observations of SARS-CoV-2 and the typical features of coronaviruses that cause the common cold, pointing to the fact that the epidemic will slow, and that nothing will change.
Canadian epidemiologists for the first time details have calculated these changes using data that was collected by the medical service of 144 countries and regions in the world at that point in time when the total number of cases COVID-19 reached the level of 375 thousand.
With this data, scientists have calculated how fast the virus spread in the countries located at different latitudes. To do this, the scientists compared the number of patients on 20 and 27 March. Epidemiologists further compared these figures with the strictness of the quarantine in each country and how varied the weather at the time and with other climatic, social and economic factors.
“the Preliminary study showed that temperature and latitude of the area played an important role in the spread of the virus. Subsequent (more accurate and detailed) calculations showed that this is actually not the case,” explained another author of the work, an epidemiologist from the University of Toronto (Canada) Peter Yuni.
In particular, scientists have found no relationship between the geographical position of the country and the pace of development of the epidemic that was typical for countries of Europe and Asia, and countries of the New world and Africa. In addition, according to their results, the dissemination COVID-19 did not affect any humidity, neither GDP nor the level of urbanization or the health care costs.
the Only limiting factor, according to epidemiologists, there was a ban on mass gatherings and closure of schools. P��this, the researchers urge the authorities of all countries affected by the epidemic, a very balanced approach to the lifting of the quarantine and to be guided by the epidemiological considerations.
