Experts predict: in the near future the number of unemployed in the country could rise to 5-6 million. And that’s just the tip of the iceberg, because now many people, being formally employed, sit in quarantine without patches. Szprosy the end of March showed that the majority of people who have lost their income, the airbags will last for 1-2 months. Now this period is coming to an end. We talked with people and found out how they survive in the conditions of coronavirus crisis.
– My income is seriously decreased in March, says Natalia, master pedicure and manicure. – Because of the fear of the virus client already then one by one cancelled the account. As of 29 March, all beauty salons have closed.
the Salary as such we had, we worked for the interest, and, consequently, were left without income. In mid-April I managed to write a letter of resignation and pick up a workbook to apply for unemployment benefits.
as to the dismissal of my salary was minimal, the benefit will also be lower than was proposed in Moscow 19.5 thousand. Kind of like another 3 thousand rubles I had to pay for 12-year-old son.
While the exact amount of payments is not known, the other day I was at the map 590 rubles, after the holidays I will understand what it means.
my Husband works remotely in the technical service pizzerias, the salary he cut by a third to 30 thousand rubles dirty. In addition, we need to pay another loan and on the car – 12 thousand.
we had Accumulated a total of 70 thousand rubles for the summer trip to my dad in Krasnodar Krai. Now from the money of the left half. If the quarantine is not over at the end of may, to pay for communal services we will have nothing. Also lucky that my husband loves to stock products, so we always have a few pounds of different cereals, canned meat and other canned food. Meat, fish and sweet we’re in the last month already almost do not buy, just not what.
the 24-year-old Svetlana to the pandemic worked as an assistant accountant, on April the office is closed, and she was sent on vacation without pay. In the capital the girl together with the girlfriend rents a one-bedroom apartment, the owner agreed to reduce the rent by 20%, but the money we need to earn.
– Any savings I had, parents in another city and barely make ends meet, – says Svetlana. – Fortunately, I managed to get a packer of goods for online orders in the online store. On hand I get a little more than 30 thousand, and this salvation, although we have to work a lot.
to Save money I used since my student days, so to limit myself in everything not a big problem. What I fear most is that after finishing pandemic I will not be able to return to work in the specialty.
Nicholas and Catherineand Goncharov for almost 10 years, successfully developing their flower business. Shortly before the pandemic, the pair invested the greater part of the accumulated funds in the opening of the second point.
– Everything that happens to us – a disaster, – says Ekaterina. – The party of unsold flowers from us just disappeared, the tenants don’t want to hear about the deferral of payment, and all the savings invested in the business.
Until the end of may we still somehow hold out, and in June we will not have enough money not only to save his business, but rent and food. All florists had to send in holiday at own expense, we simply have nothing to pay them. From the state no real help we can’t see and hope for her left.
the Problem is in the fact that the husband in the past year suffered a cancer, a virus may be very dangerous. In this regard, to go to work now as a courier or seller is very risky. The normal unemployment benefits, we also do not Shine, as all individual entrepreneurs in this case are equal to never idle and you can only claim minimal. Besides, to register at the labor exchange, it is necessary to close the IP, but this question is not fast.
that would happen with a real income in the coming months, we told the Director of the Center for market research HSE George Ostapkovich.
“the Second quarter from April to June will be decisive, it will be possible to judge how events will develop before the end of the year. According to the forecasts, during this period, the population will lose at least 15% in real income compared to the same period last year. The money is 2 trillion rubles, more than the monthly turnover of all retail sales.
Speaking about the recession, they would immediately try to calculate how much GDP will fall. But really the determining factors of any crisis are: unemployment, the actually available funds in the population, poverty levels and income gap. It depends on them how long are we going to recover from the pandemic.
Now most people are not starving, but significantly reduce your costs and review the composition of the consumer basket. Accordingly, the falling demand for goods, manufacturers are forced to cut costs to minimize losses. This reduction occurs in part due to cuts in pay, vacations at their own expense or reduction of the working day.
to normalize the situation, the government should help bring back consumers lost income. I believe that in the end the government will move to direct distribution of money to the population. However, this will not “helicopter” money, I think the funds will provide only the really needy citizens.
of Course, the uniqueness of HNNesna situation of the great distance that no one really can predict what will happen next. In General there can be two scenario.
In the case of a favorable way, if the epidemic starts to decline in June, a business can recover by the autumn. In the case of the adverse scenario, if the withdrawal will be delayed and will the second wave of the disease, for a full market recovery will take about 2 years.
the Current crisis, in my opinion, not as dangerous as the crisis of 2008. Then there was a crash of the entire financial system, now the financial system is stable and the crisis manifests itself only in the complete nullification of the services sector and the fall of supply and demand.
