large-Scale measures against the spread of the coronavirus, including blocking borders, closing of the contacts and of educational institutions allowed to control the pandemic from the beginning of may and prevent in eleven European countries, around 3.1 million deaths, according to a study at Imperial College London.
for their part, scientists at the University of California at Berkeley came to the conclusion that in the period before the sixth of April in China, South Korea, Italy, Iran, France and the United States the lockdown helped to avoid infection of 530 million people. “I think that none of the other activities of mankind was not such achievements in such a short time. The lives saved are worth it”, – commented the project leader Solomon Hsiang.
Experts suggest with attention to the interpretation of the numbers of studies published in the journal Nature. “This is the first attempt to assess the achievements against coronaviruses, which is important in the political debates of future measures and mitigation,” said statistician Gerd antes of the University of Freiburg in Germany. – “The findings have huge range of fluctuations. This illustrates the uncertainties associated with this approach”.
According to him, it makes sense to look at mortality, to analyze the pandemic. Levels of infection are too much depend on how many tested in the country. But a review of deaths presents certain difficulties, because it is not always clear whether it died someone from Covid-19 or other diseases triggered by infection.
