Without any counter-measures, the Coronavirus had cost pandemic, the Imperial College in London, according to this year up to 40 million people worldwide.
The study, which was published. The researchers played in a mathematical model several scenarios.
In the worst case, would have been infected, therefore, seven billion people, i.e. almost the whole of humanity, within this year, with the causative agent of Sars-CoV-2.
Early measures
Therefore, the researchers are calling for a worldwide early measures for the suppression of the pandemic, as they have been taken in many countries already. Only in this way a strain on the health is to prevent systems.
“Quick, decisive and collective action by all countries are necessary in order to limit the consequences of this pandemic,” said Professor Azra Ghani, one of the authors of the study.
Crucial test, the isolation of Infected social distancing are.
in Order to make the importance of these measures, play through the researchers three scenarios. All countries would take tough action to a point in time where there is only 0.2 of a Corona-Deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, could have prevented 95 percent of the deaths and 38.7 million people’s lives are saved, says the report.
it Would introduce the measures at a number of 1.6 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, declining the number of lives saved, however, to 30 million.
poor countries most vulnerable to Coronavirus affected
With weaker action as a strategy to slow the pandemic and the shielding of the older population will be 20 million Dead due to the lung disease Covid-19 was to be expected, it said in the report.
may have been Particularly hard hit in this scenario, countries with a low average income, there, the experts expect that the maximum utilisation of the health systems could, then, be a 25-fold exceeded.
But even in rich countries, it would be seven Times more patients than can be treated.
The researchers warn, however, that the measures for the suppression of the pandemic will have a high economic and social costs, especially in countries with low and middle income levels.
Deutsche Presse-Agentur (dpa)
*The contribution of “study on the infection extent: Without counter-measures worldwide, 40 million Corona Dead” is published by FitForFun. Contact with the executives here.
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