Together with her in the top five — China, Australia, Indonesia and Mexico.
Russia was among the five countries with the most favourable economic preconditions for recovery after a pandemic coronavirus. This is stated in the annual report of the Institute for Economics and peace (IEP, is at the disposal of “Izvestia”). Its experts also claim that the world will need five years to return to doverennoe condition. The best way to handle those countries whose economy is underpinned by the so-called indicator of peace, which on a global scale over the past year has suffered. As told “Izvestia” head of the IEP, Steve Killelea, pandemic COVID has played in this role.
Russia, along with Indonesia, China, Mexico and Australia entered the top-5 of the 42 countries with the most favourable economic preconditions for recovery COVID.
However, this does not mean that the recovery will be quick and easy, say the experts.
Economic preconditions define four indicators: no national debt (will allow you to borrow funds to mitigate the economic downturn); a low unemployment rate (give effective retraining and redeployment of workers); low taxes (will increase taxation to cover the budget deficit); the weak dependence on international trade (help less painful to accept its further decline, and in 2020, it is, according to the world trade organization, will fall by 13-32% and to cope with the violation involved).
While the exit from crisis is influenced by such indicators as the producer price index, which reflects the level of peacefulness in the country. According to this indicator Russia is on the 37th place, China — on the 34th, Indonesia — 39-m, Mexico — 35-m, Australia on the 13th. the Level of PPI depends on eight factors: the functionality of the government, healthy the business environment human rights, good relations with neighbors, free access to information, the level of human capital, the level of corruption and justice in the allocation of resources. COVID these indicators significantly worsened.
the Most beneficial impact of these two factors are combined from Australia, Germany, Iceland, New Zealand, Norway, Switzerland, Estonia and Japan. The worst things in Brazil, Hungary, Greece, Italy, Latvia, Poland, Slovakia and South Africa.
— assessment of our Institute to recover to the level of 2019, the world will need five years — said “Izvestia” head of the Institute for Economics and peace Steve Killelea.
the Pandemic has changed the algorithms of violence. On the one hand, self-isolation has reduced the crime rate (murder, robbery , etc.), fell the drug trade, reduced the number of fights and automotives accidents. On the other hand, were significantly more cases of domestic violence and the infliction of harm on oneself; in some parts of Latin America the power in their hands took the drug cartels; also when entering life in online-mode jumped the level of cybercrime.
These findings were published along with annual global peace index. It is based on the global peace index (GPI), which helps to assess the degree of violence or fear of him. Experts assigns countries scores from 1 to 5 (the closer to one the more peaceful the country).
At the heart of GPI is based on three factors: safety and security (includes access to small arms, political instability and terror, protests with violence), current conflicts (intensity of internal discord and relations with neighbouring countries) and the degree of militarization (investments in UN peacekeeping missions and the percentage of GDP on defense). due COVID of these indicators were also degraded: for example, during a pandemic, increased sale of firearms in the United States, in many countries, likely aggressive demonstrations related to economic problems may also reduce support for UN missions and spending on defense — the money the government will be redirected to the economic recovery.
the Five most peaceful countries in 2019 have not changed: first place went to Iceland, followed by New Zealand, Portugal, Austria and Denmark. Russia its position in the list-also maintained — it is located on the 154 th place with an index of 3,049 between the Sudan and the Central African Republic. However, over the last year GPI has improved by 0.04 points. For comparison, the other permanent members of the UN security Council take the following lines: UK 42-Yu (GPI — 1,77), France 66th (1,93), China 104th (2,166) and 121 of the United States (2,307).
— the Difference between these two countries (Sudan and Central African Republic. — “News”) and Russia lies in the aspect of militarization. RF — vysokomineralizovannoj country with a large defense spending and nuclear weapons, — said Steve Killelea, answering a question “News”, why the level of peacefulness of the Russian Federation from year to year does not allow her to rise above the 153-th line. But let’s look at the positive aspects: reduction in the number of police officers and imprisoning, reduced the number of killings and incidents of terrorism.
the head of the IEP emphasized that spending on defense is considered their share of GDP. In 2019, according to the Stockholm Institute SIPRI, Russia this indicator amounted to 3.9% of GDP (for comparison, the USA have allocated 3.4 percent).
the report notes that of the nine regions of the world, the positive dynamics can be traced to only two: North America (Canada and USA) and the region of Russia and Eurasia (CIS countries, Georgia, Turkmenistan and Ukraine).
the Reason — Rel��relative stabilization Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and, accordingly, the relations between the neighboring countries.
Ekaterina Postnikova
