Italian scientists Gianluca Rinaldi and Matteo Paradisi analyzed data on deaths from the coronavirus in Lombardy – a region which is worst affected by the epidemic. The results of the study published portal medRxiv.
Scientists do not consciously began to use official statistics of deaths and took the data about testing for SARS-CoV-2 in ten settlements. They were interested in the mortality rate over 40 days, starting from 21 February, when the region was closed borders, and in the investigated localities imposed a quarantine. Rinaldi and Paradise compared the figures of this year with statistics of the last five years.
“the Number of deaths in 2020 appeared five times higher than the average for previous years. And the fact that in the beginning of April this was not significantly different from the previous one, speaks about the efficiency of quarantine in the fight against the spread of the virus,” citing the results of a study RIA Novosti reported.
the scientists Also analyzed the results of blood tests in the region, which were held after the lifting of stringent restrictions. In the studied area were infected about 40 percent of the population, in some localities, the figure was 80 percent.
the authors of the study concluded that the mortality rate from coronavirus is 1.29 percent, and among people older than 60 years is 4.25%. This is less than in the official statistics of COVID-19, but more than from other viral diseases. As a comparison, the scientists gave details of deaths from influenza is about 0.1% of the total number of cases.
According to the Italian Ministry of health in the country is infected with a coronavirus almost 193 thousand people, of which he died almost 26 thousand. The pandemic has affected most countries of the world. According to the who, infected with more than 2.6 million people.
