Since July 27, at the Donbass promised full, final and permanent ceasefire, the twentieth in a row. It is new and very special – his equally strong curse in the trenches on both sides of the contact line. Such unity fighting against diplomats, it is difficult even to remember.
the Agreement on full and comprehensive cease-fire on the line of differentiation reached in Minsk by the trilateral contact group. “Full and comprehensive” – this means that the ban, even the use of any small arms, the work of the reconnaissance groups and drone flights. Separately discussed the ban on the employment of snipers, the withdrawal of heavy equipment and banning the placement of it in the settlements in principle. Tried to find a mechanism for “punishment” of offenders – the fact that the Joint center for control and coordination of the ceasefire after the departure in December of 2017 from Donbass 75 Russian officers SCCC, turned into a completely non-working design. Now the Ukrainian JCCC officers work independently on its part of the front line and share their reports with the media and the OSCE, about the same in your offline do not accept Ukrainians SCCC DNI and the LC.
the Problem of a new ceasefire that is now permitted to open fire only in response to “attack the enemy”, which can recognize and equipment, new positions, new mining or access to the positions of others and sabotage-reconnaissance groups. But you can shoot immediately, but only after the appropriate high command will contact the coordinator of the OSCE Minsk process, who will try to shame the enemy and only in case of failure of diplomats the idea of a possible fight!
This bulky design in the trenches met with shock without drones and tactical intelligence units are “blind”, and in the ability of traditional “Blind” (as here name is the patrol of the OSCE mission) to effective mediation then is treated with a kind of black humor. Last week at Gorlovka there was a fight in which the Ukrainians have lost two Marines. Lost, as they say, the shelling of the group SCCC officers in white vests and helmets and medic with a red cross on the helmet when coordinated through the OSCE evacuation of the neutral zone of the body of the deceased army scout. In the DNI claim that it is in a gray area consistently stepped on mines two consecutive Ukrainian DRG, blown themselves – period. So, the OSCE mission did not include this “controversial” episode in his report for the day, once again failed to define right and wrong and to engage in any conflict situation – for media queries, the mission said that the security guarantees given by the local units to each other, and not the OSCE, therefore, in��questions do not address. But provided through the OSCE, these “guarantees” answers do not write – the OSCE mission habitually phlegmatic soars above the fray, not Reaffirming a draw version.
Now the coordinator of the Minsk process of the OSCE will effectively regulate the process of ceasefire all along the front, 400 miles?! With the determination and potential punishment?
Now all the negotiations in the Minsk group are in a mode of videoconferences, in your own way is very convenient. On Tuesday, the cease-fire was discussed in the subgroup on safety and achieved astounding success. And the political sub-group in your world everything is as loud quarreled on the eve of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine adopted the resolution “On appointing the next local elections in 2020”, where there is a section on elections in the “occupied territories”, which according to this official document, can be found only after the “withdrawal of all illegal armed formations, managed, controlled and financed by the Russian Federation, the Russian occupation forces and their military equipment from the territory of Ukraine”. Representatives of republics have found a similar passage a violation of the Minsk agreements and demanded to remove from the decision of the Ukrainian side, in turn, no “representatives from DND and LNR” as themselves republics in emphasis does not see. And interpretation of the sequence of execution of complex measures in the Minsk agreements, Russia and Ukraine are still diametrically different.
General skepticism of the military about another “comprehensive ceasefire” is based precisely on this. If there are no prospects of agreement among diplomats and politicians, always sooner or later begins to speak weapon. And here is the “cessation of missile fire, reconnaissance and drone flights” from the point of view of the commanders at the tactical level – a direct path to the prospect of imminent sudden losses. Only.
