opinion polls of participants of voting on amendments can close with polls.
Kommersant’s Sources say that from 25 June to 1 July during the national vote on constitutional amendments will conduct polls surveys of voters, but the data exit polls might not be available to the media and the public even after the vote. Experts believe that non-public exit polls could be useful for the authorities to monitor the voting process, and to predict elections with expanded opportunities for early voting.
Two well-informed Kommersant source close to the presidential administration, claim that the polls will hold exit polls as a day of nationwide voting on constitutional amendments of July 1, and during the six preceding days, when the voters will vote early. The resulting data, including outcome indicators, surveys, according to the interlocutor of “Kommersant”, most likely, will not be published. “The first time it extended the vote, many difficulties and pitfalls,” — says the source “b”. In VTsIOM refused from comments.
election results exit polls can be published only after the close of polling but before the publication of the results of counting of votes. Your exit polls is often carried out by the participants in the elections, which sometimes appeal to your survey results, challenging the results of the voting. Thus sociologists different assess the ability exit polls accurately predict the final distribution of votes.
“the Main problem is always the same — those who refused to answer pollsters, says Mr Poturalski.— On the various social services through their own models trying to predict how the undecided are distributed, but the accuracy suffers a lot.” In his opinion, polls give the candidates ‘ staffs understanding of how and with what intensity people vote, which electorate and why not go to the polling stations.
the Analyst Abbas Gallyamov assumes that the exit polls organizers need to vote in real time to see how people vote, and to take the necessary steps to achieve the desired result.
the probability of failure from the publication of exit polls polls Mr Gallyamov explains the possibility of a negative reaction of presidential administration. In addition, the effect of polls on undecided voters not necessarily be motivating. Victor Poturalski adds that exit polls vote required for the formation of “sociological experience for the future.”
On conducting their surveys of the participants had previously stated nothow many opposition parties and movements. We will remind, the CEC has repeatedly made it clear that a nationwide vote on amendments, procedural is different from the election campaign in connection with it is not regulated, therefore the ban on the exit polls, as the rules of their publication, no. Calculation of results of voting on amendments will be held on 1 July after the polls closed. Before CEC will publish only daily data on turnout.
Andrew Vinokurov, angelina Galanin.
