Once again, the federal government invited to the car summit. The 15 million target for e-cars was confirmed in the best planned economy manner. Taxpayers can now fear, because in the end they will bear the costs. A comment.
In the Federal Chancellery yesterday evening, desire and reality met again. “The participants agreed that a rapid ramp-up of e-mobility is necessary in order to achieve the climate targets in transport,” explained government spokesman Steffen Hebestreit on Tuesday after the meeting. Invited were representatives of the automotive industry, scientists, country representatives and others. So it remains at 15 million electric cars, which must be in Germany by 2030 at least.
This requires around 1.8 million new Stromers per year. Assuming an average of three million new registrations in Germany, of which 600,000 are electric vehicles, there will have to be an additional 1.2 million electric vehicles in the future. Every year, of course. Incidentally, you shouldn’t count partially electrified cars such as plug-in hybrids, because they should disappear from the car market by 2035 at the latest with the EU ban on combustion engines, just like pure diesel and petrol engines.
So much for the wish. Let’s get down to reality: Germany has just made the first million e-cars with a bang, after years of subsidies worth billions at the expense of taxpayers, with tax privileges for electric vehicles, free parking spaces, extra income from this strange construct of the GHG quota and all the other benefits that have been constructed. Despite the growing choice of models, only 16 percent of those surveyed would buy a pure Stromer the next time they buy a car, according to a recent survey by the management consultancy Deloitte. At the end of 2021, the share was 15 percent.
The share of purely electric cars in new registrations is currently around 15 percent. It is certain that the proportion will increase significantly. But how quickly is decided by the car buyers and nobody else. Electromobility has by no means failed, as its harshest critics believe – but the pace cannot be forced.
And what does every orderly planned economy do when it recognizes that a goal is unrealistic? Exactly: It simply ignores reality and consumers. It should only be a matter of time before, under the constant pressure to achieve the climate targets on paper – which of course always have to be much more ambitious in Germany than in other countries – the large cornucopia of subsidies is distributed again .
The obvious contradiction as to why a technology that is supposedly superior in all respects still a) needs financial support and b) does not prevail if all alternatives (economical combustion engines, hybrids, gas vehicles, etc.) are not banned at the same time, should actually have every car manager , but also let every politician sink into the ground with shame.
The unwavering adherence to a strategy that seems desperate is also reflected in the traffic light government’s rejection of e-fuels and other alternative climate fuels. Although even VW boss Oliver Blume recently made it clear that VW, despite its electric offensive, will continue to sell combustion engines in many countries and that these would be much more environmentally friendly with climate fuel than they are now, the traffic light insists on pressure from the SPD and Greens solely on the battery vehicle .
Other countries, such as Sweden or the “green” US state of California, are already using climate fuel on a large scale. This does not make the combustion engine CO2-neutral – just as little as the electric car, certainly not in the German electricity mix – but so low in emissions that ambitious climate targets can also be achieved much faster and easier, years before electric cars probably make up the majority of the car fleet. California wants to have “defossilized” all of its diesel needs by 2030.
Germany, on the other hand, wants to continue as before and must now hope that the programs for more charging stations decided at the mobility summit will bear fruit. An “Expert Advisory Board on Climate Protection” is also to develop further proposals “promptly”. If someone doesn’t know how to go on, they set up a working group. You can already guess the proposals that will come there because they are always the same: “Intelligent networking of modes of transport”, more restrictions on car traffic through city tolls or higher CO2 taxes, priority for bicycles and so on. Just all the wishes of an ideology-driven policy that have little to do with reality: even record traffic jams don’t stop people from driving, as the current traffic jam statistics for 2022 just showed again. In the future, politicians will continue to fight against reality in their self-sewn corset of climate targets and “traffic reversals”. With this in mind: Off to the next mobility summit.
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