Alexander Dynkin, IMEMO President they ran Yevgeny Primakov believes that although the direct impact on the Russian economy, the US decision will have indirect positive effect may be.
Ministry of Finance in 2020, inflation will be about 4 percent
“If the U.S. economy does not go into a deep recession, is gradually recovering, the Chinese economy will get the markets. If you start growth in China, it will increase the demand for hydrocarbons. This will lead to an increase in their prices, which is important for the Russian economy. You can rely on a recovery of prices to $ 35 per barrel,” he explains.
Scheduled to support the U.S. economy amount, according to Dynkin comparable extraordinary expenses since the Korean war. This is due to the rapid deterioration of the situation. If last week at the labour exchange appealed 281 thousand Americans, this week the number exceeded 3 million. By may, the unemployment rate in the States could be closer to 13% and even 20%, according to Dynkin. Support measures can reduce the danger of unemployment and to mitigate the impact of the crisis.
Siluanov: Russia’s GDP at the beginning of the year rose 2.3%
Friday March 27, the President of the United States Donald trump has signed the law on allocation of 2 trillion dollars to stimulate the American economy affected by the pandemic coronavirus. Among the proposed measures – $ 350 billion to support small business tax breaks, $ 250 billion on extended insurance, and so on. To support households planned to give each family $ 1200, plus $ 500 per child. These forms of support relate to lower-income segments of the population with income less than 75 thousand dollars a year, explains Dynkin.
USA were seriously affected by the pandemic COVID-19. The country emerged in the first place for the dissemination of coronavirus infections in the world – the number of cases has exceeded 120 thousand, which is significantly higher than in China or Italy. Quarantine in the United States extended to April 30.