MOSCOW, may 2 – RIA Novosti. Scientists from Singapore have adjusted the forecast for the end of the outbreak of the coronavirus in Russia, moving it four days on August 8, it follows from the continuously updated data innovation laboratories Singapore University of technology and design.
Previously, experts had assumed that the epidemic in Russia may end on 7 August, then moved the date forward to August 4.
Dates can be moved in any direction, depending on the situation and of the measures taken, explain the authors of the model. Scientists also warned that the countries have passed the peak of coronavirus, unable to face the new wave of the epidemic the early lifting of restrictions.
projection was used, in particular, the SIR-model — a mathematical model of the spread of infection, which describes the dynamics of the susceptible, infected and recovered.
the Authors of the study note that any forecasts should be treated with caution and warn about the dangers of “excessive optimism”. Press Secretary of the President of Russia Dmitry Peskov, commenting on the forecasts of the Singapore scientists, said earlier that the Kremlin is guided by a clear understanding of what to call the end date of the epidemic of coronavirus in Russia is impossible.
the world health organization on 11 March announced the outbreak of a new coronavirus infection COVID-19 pandemic. According to the latest world health organization, worldwide there were more than 3.1 million cases, more than 224 thousand people died.
Russia ranks eighth in the number of cases. Diagnosis COVID-19 set 114 431 person (the increase per day of 7.4%) of them recovered more than 13 thousand people, 1169 could not be saved.
Authorities have asked the Russians to stay home during the epidemic. In many regions operates in the transmission mode. In addition, temporarily stopped international air and rail links.
