In my lifetime was not in America elections more intriguing, with unexpected twists and the absolute uncertainty in the outcome. Three months ago, for example, I do not exclude that the outcome of the primaries of the Democrats, to the horror of many, will be forced to nominate its candidate of the socialist Bernie Sanders. And that in a General election, no doubt with a Bang will blow the Donald Trump.
Actually, the victory trump was apparent to me in the case that the democratic candidate would be Joe Biden, not to mention all the other applicants. In spite of the history of impeachment and all other attempts of the Democrats to sink the President’s trump seemed to me to be an absolute winner in the battle with any opponent, which could put the democratic party. Unless some incredible, extraordinary events is what is called “black Swan” — would spoil the picture.
And it is necessary to implement this scenario! Flown from China “black Swan” — this terrible coronavirus — got trump his main weapon: a brilliant success in the economy. With record levels of employment, income growth, excellent stock performance, Trump was not afraid of any attacks the Democrats. And that’s all it boomed into the abyss in a matter of weeks. What now?
Now Trump is to rely only on what he can prove his leadership qualities in a crisis. And yet — on the weakness of his opponent when it comes to a vote. Neither one nor the other while Trump is not guaranteed.
If you listen to his opponents, the President has shown almost criminal negligence when were slow in taking the necessary decisions in the face of a looming pandemic. In these accusations, of course, has some truth, but much more — of hypocrisy and political struggle. As, for example, claims to Trump that he previously ignored the danger of the virus. Perhaps, then, the President really was not so resolute as it is now. However, on 31 January — just a few days after identifying in the USA the first case of infection with coronavirus — he imposed a ban on air links with China. This saved California from a regular influx of Chinese — and that 7,000 people a day, some of whom arrived by direct flights from Wuhan. For that, by the way, while Democrats accused trump of racism.
the President blamed a lot, but the loudest we hear the voice of Nancy Pelosi, speaker of the lower chamber of Congress. The same Nancy Pelosi that February 24 — nearly a month after the decree trump on the termination of flights from China — walking under the cameras in a swarm of people to Chinatown in San Francisco, calling people without fear to go in town and shop, saying that everyone in town x��well, nothing terrible happens.
of Course, the trump and there were miscalculations in his opposition to infection, but hardly more rough, than the leaders of other countries. Almost all States were not ready for this disaster. Hardly there is at least one government, which in this context would not be exposed to criticism. But one thing — criticism to push the authorities to correct errors, and quite another — criticism as a political weapon.
the battle with the virus, the Democrats have turned into a battle for power. That failed to make nor power of spectacular Mueller (remember him, the investigation on the alleged collusion of trump with the Kremlin) or by other investigations in Congress or by impeachment, opponents of trump trying to do now, when the country’s raging epidemic. Whatever is done, whatever the President said — everything is bad. Bad when he takes on sole responsibility for some decisions, and bad when he delegates the decision to the governors. It blamed the high mortality rate from coronavirus and at the same time resent the fact that he promotes without due diligence and the usual formalities of antimalarial medication, which actually saves people! Anything to create a picture of the worthless leadership of the country.
All governments are now throwing in the meanwhile, to preserve the health of people, adhering to Protocol “staying home” and the suspension of businesses and the need not to prolong this situation, to avoid the collapse of the economy. Where is the Golden mean, exactly, no one knows. It is clear that if the delay with the abolition of restrictions — the consequences can be even more disastrous than the pandemic. It is also clear that the less blood the country will be able to get out of this nightmare, the more chances you have trump to win the election. It understands and its opponents, in whose plan is certainly not to help the President.
In any case, major battles are still ahead — when will the country’s return to normal life. And here is the outcome — that is something that America will approach to elections — remains in the fog.
whatever the turn of events, rival trump in a General election should be Joe Biden. I say “should” because all the party rules, when its only competitor Bernie Sanders out of the game, he will be nominated as a candidate for the upcoming August party Congress of the democratic party. However, it is not the fact that it will be so. Biden is not just old: the signs of impending dementia with each passing month, more and more felt. And no one had suspected him, neither in eloquence nor clarity of thought, but today his inability to finish offer, hopping from one incoherent thought to another, all his anemic appearance leave a painful feeling. It is terrible to imagine the picture of his debate with a vigorous, impudent tramp. And even scarier is to present the role of the leader of the country during its most difficult period.
the Situation could somehow save the active Vice-President with a view to the subsequent resignation of Biden (in the case of a hypothetical victory in the elections), say, for health reasons. Then the duties of the President would pass to his Vice, and the country would have sighed with relief.
Perhaps such a plan was the apparatchiks and the main donors of the party when they are forced to bet on Biden. Such a plan could take the voters — those for whom identity trump is absolutely unacceptable. But here, Biden managed to cut the escape route: he publicly insisted that his Vice should be a woman that not only that basically shares his views, but also has enough experience so that, if necessary, could immediately proceed to the presidential duties. The latter, incidentally, suggests conceived the “castling”.
But why a woman? Well, Yes, of course: in order to attract the voters. That’s Biden’s reputation is not so tarnished, but his style constantly hugged the interviewees and actually touch them in America today is clearly not a trend. And here with his revelations completely out of place, made some Tara Reid, complaining of sexual tyranny Biden 30 years ago. Perhaps this calumny, but the taint remains.
However, the problem is that women’s ideal partner with the experience, conceived in dreams, Biden in real life is not visible. But a suitable male candidate for the post is: the Governor of the state of new York Andrew Cuomo. Active politician, he received all-American recognition and approval right now — his active struggle with the consequences of the pandemic. But no, Biden has made his “feminine” order, and therefore with the “castling” focus hardly pass.
the Problem with Biden in the fact that the left wing of the democratic party — the so-called progressives, who were with Sanders, the name Biden is as disgusting as trump. Though Sanders and demonstrated party loyalty, urging their voters to support Biden, hardly many of them do go to the polls. Moreover, I do not exclude that someone from the spirit of protest even vote for trump. Anyway, that is the picture we saw in the last election. What if in addition, the trump can just before the elections seriously, with documents, unwinding corrupt family history of Biden in Ukraine?
In General, from whatever side you look, the Canoen in these battles — not a fighter.
What is left for the Democrats — aside from trying to fill up trump before the election? Only one thing: having made an incredible somersault, to figure out how to circumvent party rules and put up against trump more worthy of the player. For example, the same Andrew Cuomo. And in this case, the outcome of the battle, I think today nobody would predict.
