the Study was conducted from 31 March to 2 April, i.e. during the first after hours of the week, announced by the President as a measure of countering the spread of coronavirus infection
AGN Moscow / Andrey Nicorici Fall in real cash incomes of Russians by the end of 2020 can become maximum for the period 2014
Moscow-Live.ru / Akishin Vyacheslav
Despite the fact that Russian employers not forced to send workers on unpaid leave, almost 30% of companies forced employees to take unpaid leave, the survey showed CSR “Socio-economic effects from the “shock” of the events of the beginning of 2020.”
the Study was conducted from 31 March to 2 April, i.e. during the first after hours of the week, announced by the President as a measure of countering the spread of coronavirus infection. In the survey participated about 1 thousand PRodpreti, RBC.
coronavirus Pandemic, quarantine restrictions, devaluation of the ruble due to falling oil prices led to a sharp decline in demand in the economy, and due to the reduction of the company’s profits have to shrink staff and cut salaries.
Nearly half of companies (49%) reported that transferred employees on part-time work with low wages, it follows from the results of the study CSR.Over 20% of companies have cut staff salaries, not changing the number of working hours.
Every fifth company transferred workers in remote mode with lower wages. The layoffs have started already 16% of companies and 31% intend to do so in the near future, write “Vedomosti”.
Directly affected by the wave of cuts or potentially unclaimed are at least 15 million workers, it is socially unacceptable, warned analysts Cmake and required additional support measures. Only Muscovites are losing their jobs can from 500 000 to 1 million people, estimated the capital’s branch of “Business Russia”.
In the structure of monetary incomes of the population by source of income, according to Rosstat, the largest share of wages. With its reduction in real disposable monetary incomes of the population will begin to decline. The fall in real cash incomes of Russians by the end of 2020 can become maximum for the period of 2014, according to the forecasts of economists ACRES and Alfa-Bank. According to their estimates, due to quarantine restrictions, rising unemployment and the devaluation of the ruble real incomes may decline more than 5%.
Risks of bankruptcy subject to the 28% of Russian companies, and in the most difficult position of the enterprise in sphere of trade, transport, real estate and construction. Under attack help.I and the entire services sector.
According to estimates of entrepreneurs, Russia’s GDP in the absence of financial measures of state support of the population and business by the end of 2020 could be reduced by 5.6%. To date, the government has reserved to fight the crisis 1.4 trillion rubles (about 1.3% of GDP), said Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. But even if all these funds will be spent on measures to support entrepreneurs and the population, the Russian economy, according to survey participants the CSR will not be able to avoid a recession: GDP at the end of this year will fall by 1.18%.
Russian business associations have sent a joint letter to the government, which, in particular, stated the need to introduce for businesses a subsidy for the payment of 2/3 of monthly salary for the entire period of the regime of non-working days, and to consider the possibility of exempting companies from paying taxes and subsidizing the payments for the rent, leasing and loans.
