When the Denmark open after easter, more will be infected, and several hundred danes can get at the hospital.
When parts of Denmark after the plan opens after easter, it will lead to more coronasmittede and more admissions to its hospitals.
this is the sound of the assessment in a report from an expert group, Statens Serum Institut has been at the forefront of.
In the report, it was attempted to calculate the effect of opening out from a mathematical model.
The partial opening will mean that smittetrykket – how many people an infected even rubs will increase to 1.23, 1.00.
It will lead to that the number of inpatients will increase to 649 ordinary people. 264 is evaluated to an intensive care unit.
currently, there are 472 patients in the country’s hospitals, of which 127 are on a critical care unit.
The maximum load capacity of the health care system is expected to last from the beginning to the middle of may.
Thus, the increased infection be to handle for the Danish health care system.
There are estimated to be released 925 intensivpladser with respirators at the country’s hospitals to coronapatienter. It has Health assessed.
however, the estimate of the need for beds is assessed as the most likely. But there is also the possibility that there will be a need for either fewer or significantly more people.
Interval in the model for standard beds varies between 254 and 2314, while in intensive care and is between 124 and 735.
the Statens Serum Institute stresses that the model is not fully developed, and there have been no Danish data for all of the assumptions in the model.
We have also tried to calculate what it will entail, if the population stops to comply with the councils on the social distance and good hand hygiene. In that case, it will smittetrykket rise to 1.72.
It will create a need for 767 intensivpladser – with a range of 182 to 1780 – and the 1893 general seats – in a range of 368 to 6030.
the Report from the State Serum Institute was the basis for the controlled reopening of Denmark, as prime minister, Mette Frederiksen (S) presented Monday.
This means, among other things, that the nurseries and kindergartens open to children in school in 0.-5.-class will be back in school, which is also the case for the oldest pupils in upper secondary education.
/ritzau/
