On Friday, the Robert Koch Institute reported that the speed of propagation of the Corona-slows down infection. Thanks to the no-Contact orders and strict restrictions in public life. Nevertheless, a lot of bodies in front of all, a question: when and how can be lifted to the current Lockdown in Germany again?
For some time in the room, that special Apps for mobile phones would be a way to do this. A Europe-wide study of a group of the researchers, Christophe Fraser of Oxford (United Kingdom), which has been published in the magazine “Science”, nourishes this assumption, as a virologist Christian Drosten of the Charité hospital in Berlin in the NDR Podcast “The Coronavirus-Update,” explained.
“You can’t stop at a certain point in time this epidemic,”
The study found, first of all, the following question: “what is the proportion of pre-symptomatic and symptomatic Transmissions and the environmental transfers and asymptomatic Transmissions?” The result, according to the investigation of 40 transmission pairs: About 46 per cent of the Transfers took place, before the infected person was at the end of even the first symptoms.
Drosten referred to this knowledge as “memorable”. He performs with a view to an infected people: “Even if they are not isolated at symptom onset immediately, then he has not only infects people, but this Nachinfizierten to the time when the first symptoms begin, also infectious and will begin to infect people.”
The virologist notes thus: “With a simple identification of cases and contact tracing it is too late.” And: “You can’t stop as of a certain date with a specific diagnosis plus case tracking plus isolation of contacts this epidemic. This is no longer possible.”
App could bring “almost the same as a real Lockdown,”
Then the study goes one step further, they examined in addition to the already-in Germany, measures the effect of an Addition of a fictitious App for mobile devices. This should trigger a diagnostic operation, once a user indicates that he has symptoms, he is directly a test date can be specified and in case of a positive result of the contact persons of the last days to warn anonymously.
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If 60 percent of the population would use such an App, and if about 60 percent of those who are informed, remained at home, to stop the epidemic is to be measured at the beginning of the spread of the Virus in the Chinese city of Wuhan. As the Virus is spreading now faster than at the time, would you are now in need of a higher participant’s share of App usage, but “to communicate the essential Information and the time to win this, would actually bring almost the same as a real Lockdown,” says Drosten.
scenario with the App: Only targeted insulation instead of a complete Lockdown
There such an App could be made with your parameters at any time even sharper, for example by deletion of arranged Tests and direct isolation statement after symptom occur, the Berlin physician absolutely a Chance in the fight against Corona.
“to Me, the thought fascinated, that you would have in such an App, especially when many would join in, an Instrument to achieve a different Fine bone in the control.” dpa/Christophe Gateau/dpa, Christian Drosten, Director of the Institute for Virology at the Charité hospital in Berlin.
His hope is that The normal life could go on, you need not have a General Lockdown, companies could continue to work and schools teach. All of this could work, “but not for all at all times”, but only for those who have not received a warning via the App.
Drosten is behavior tip: “Six feet, six seconds”
“When I see what these current Lockdown measures, all the consequences, this is absolutely terrible,” says Drosten finally, taken together.
“of Course, we have to get out of these measures. Since such studies are, of course, as with the mobile App, really glimmer of hope.” According to recent surveys, 47 percent of Germans would be willing to use the appropriate App.
Finally, Drosten in the latest issue of the NDR-Podcasts a behavior hint to the Public that comes from the USA: “Six feet, six seconds”, so that is about two meters at a distance and not longer than six seconds, direct contact with other people. Pre-cooking is unnecessary: a step-by-step instructions for the best fried potatoes PCP pre-cooking is unnecessary: a step-by-step instructions for the best fried potatoes
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