General and permanent ceasefire in the Donbas will start very nervously, which is pretty clearly demonstrates his absolutely unprecedented for these places the essence. Against the bright flare-up, when over recent weeks, Ukraine has said about the tragic loss of ten Marines, amid expectations of a revenge near Gorlovka, the fighting in Lugansk and Mariupol the directions all in one night, they stopped firing.
Military strangeways unprecedented measures: the units of the DNI reached personal receipts, who honestly writes every soldier, that it is aware of the order prohibiting to open fire.
On the Ukrainian side, the administration of President Zelensky went on absolutely draconian measures to curb its own army: the battlefield and removed all the armor with a staff weapon caliber 12.7 mm above, the parts selected are all anti-tank weapons, mortars of all, from the standpoint withdrawn and antisnaypersky all sniper group. Furthermore, with the advanced pulled all drones. The latter, however, the most harmless: the contact line in 2016 with a Ukrainian side laced with ground systems, technical surveillance, all sorts of infrared cameras and other necessary equipment, which then helped install and debug the former officers of the Israeli army. Completely “blind” the military will remain.
more Importantly, the pursuit of efficiency in the execution of the order to cease all fire and attempt to show the West their exceptional peacefulness Vladimir Zelensky in the course of tactical disarmament suddenly demonstrated that deep doesn’t trust its own army. Her last orders as it was to move away from the shock: in the area of Operations of the combined forces (EP) yesterday and today a press-the centre missed the usually unshakable promulgation of morning and evening reports, and OOS commander General Vladimir Kravchenko on Monday held a special briefing in God and the road forgotten corner of Donetsk region — the town of chasiv Yar.
Kravchenko first piece of paper read a text about how entrusted to him part of follow orders of politicians and successfully develop economically the area around, carrying humanitarian goods, and more. And then, answering the questions has suddenly declared ceasefire violations by the enemy from 00: 20 to 00: 40 hours on July 27, near the village of Vodiane, where Marines from the 36th brigade worked heavy machine guns and grenade launchers.
Water is very near Mariupol, from the 36th brigade’s fighting against separate battalion of Marines of the 9th regiment of the DNI. The distance between the positions where the most small on all fronts of the Donbass, bloody scores between departments many years; a hundred yards between the trenches regularly overcome sold��TSCA cats that are fed canned meat on both sides and pulled on the collars of the note by the enemies to each other with swearing. If the front is the place where it is easy to provoke galloping battle, then this is it.
In Donetsk has said that violations of ceasefire along the entire front did not have any. And the bombings on the Ukrainian position under the Water — the provocation of the enemy, which is specifically that’s blowing himself up to charge the enemy in the disruption of the largest in the history of the war in the Donbass ceasefire. Or one of the largest — in number of ceasefires all get confused here: journalists counted 29, Vladimir Zelensky in December in Paris said they were 18, and after the second summit already happened, but even when Zelensky there were four of them.
so, even in the figure of the previous cease-fire regime in the Donbas there is no agreement. And for the life of the current “General and indefinite” truce there is already a bet. While leading a prediction about “the week of relative silence”, but local is still pretty biased observers, and certainly not objective.
the Situation is commented Kirill Molchanov, Ukrainian political analyst:
— in 2014 there were about 30 of truce, which was called “eternal”, “school”, “bread”, and so on. They all broke a few days after the start since there is no punishment for the resumption of hostilities. In addition, Ukraine is not all interested in a truce because after the end of hostilities to begin to implement the political part of Minsk agreements. It has no political will — more than that, surrounded by Zelensky periodically report on the need to denounce the Minsk agreements, or overwrite them.
However, for the year Zelensky was not able to accomplish anything that was promised during his election campaign. The President’s rating is falling. Perhaps it will spur him to take more decisive steps in the Donbas. But if the truce again broken, nothing terrible will happen: they will negotiate again and again, as it was the previous 6 years. For example, in Nagorno-Karabakh conflict lasting about 30 years.
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