the Outlook for catch of aquatic biological resources is urgent, the President of the Russian Association of fishermen (VARPE) Herman Zverev. According to him, the major fishing objects of the Russian fishery (primarily Pollock) by 2029 will be “stable”. By 2029 have not exhausted the growing potential of pelagic fish species – Pacific sardine, mackerel, saury, and these types of able to provide catch-up to 800 thousand tons. In 2019, their catch was 240 thousand tons, the forecast for 2020 is 568 thousand tons.
However, the experts do not agree with the assessment of the export industry in 2029. For example, FAO focuses on increasing the physical volume of Russian exports. However, Herman Zverev considers that the export will increase from 2 million tonnes to 2.5 million tonnes (FAO – 3 million tonnes). And the money revenue will occur due to the increase in the production of products with high added value, he said.
the Expert considers it possible some change in the balance among the major fish exporters. China now accounts for 14% of world fish exports, Norway – 7%, Vietnam 5%, India 4% Thailand 4%, US 4% Netherlands – 4%, Canada and Russia – by 3%. Given the deteriorating commercial situation in the Indian ocean, may reduce the share of India and Thailand, believes Zverev. According to his estimates, world exports of fish products will increase from 163 billion in 2019, up to 180 billion dollars in 2029. The export of Russia will be about 8,5-9 billion dollars, Russia’s share will increase from 3% to 5% of the world’s fish exports.
“Russia is among the five leading exporters, but it is unlikely we will be able to move Norway. For this, exports to Norway should be reduced in cash terms by 1.5 times: I see no reason for such a crushing fall in Norwegian exports,” – said the expert.
