the unemployment rate in Russia may grow three times. Such a scenario in its forecast said that it was possible to experts of consulting company Boston Consulting Group (BCG), reports owned by Grigory Berezkin the RBC.
All analysts have identified three possible scenarios for the growth of unemployment in the country. If the epidemic will end quickly, and the crisis will be confined to a single wave, then unemployment will rise to six or seven percent. Most affected services and non-food trade. Incomes will decline by two to three percent.
If restrictive measures will be delayed and will be a second crisis wave, the share of the unemployed can reach eight to ten percent. In this case, the crisis could also hit manufacturing and construction, while revenues in the country will fall by four to six percent.
In the worst scenario, unemployment could rise to 12-15 percent. It is possible in the case of a protracted crisis of the entire economy — including mining, metallurgy and banks as well as strict quarantine in all Russian regions. Income in this case can fall to 9-12 percent.
Earlier the President of Russia Vladimir Putin called the level of unemployment in Russia in may. According to him, the number of officially registered unemployed reached 1.9 million people. The President also said that unemployment benefits for the Russians, who did not have proof of income, you need to be tripled — from 1.5 thousand to 4.5 thousand rubles.
