If the measures of state support of the construction industry will be inefficient, the volume of new housing can be reduced already this year. As noted in the study of the Center for strategic research (CSR), developers expect that in this case for four years, the volume of restored only to the level of 2019. While the government to keep the rates of introducing square meters is preparing a new package of support, developers evaluate existing measures — they were in demand, but for the most part unavailable.The government expects the measures to support the construction industry will not allow the pace of housing construction to fall — as stated yesterday by Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, the volume of construction in the framework of the national projects needs to be saved. This year, according to the passport of the national project “Housing and the urban environment”, introduces the 98 million square meters, but the Ministry expects that the actual amount will be the same as last year 82 million sq. m. While, according to Rosstat, in January—April of 2020, the pace of housing construction declined 5% in annual terms. But, as explained in the Ministry, because of the inertia of the industry to assess the impact of a pandemic, it will be possible only in July and August. More dramatic decreased the amount of construction — by 30%, which, apparently, caused by the stop of construction projects. Reduced and the volume of housing under construction — in the words of Deputy General Director of MR Group, Andrew Kirsanov, if in August last year it was estimated at 120 million square meters, now we are talking about 100 million sq. m. And most likely this decline will continue, according to the head of the Center for social and economic research, the CSR Laura Nakoryakova, the decline is expected to be 12-20%.According to him, decline is expected in subsequent years. Such sentiments were reflected in the study of CSR, which States that more than 60% of developers expect that by 2024, the indicators of housing can return only to the level of 2019. This forecast in the CSR explain the fact that many companies can not benefit from the support measures. The most accessible were mostly regulatory measures — a year-long extension of the licenses and permits (10% availability on a scale from minus 100% to 100%), the delay of passing permissive procedures (4%) and exemption from routine inspections (3%).In the negative zone were measures such as postponement of payment of rent (-3%), including management of Federal property (-5%). The ability to change the terms and price contracts is estimated at -8%, and the availability of obtaining a certificate of the force majeure clause is evaluated at the lowest level (-18%). As it turned out, part of the support measures, developers are unable to due to the fact that they are in fact contrary to the sectoral legislation. As told the Vice-President for work with government agencies and corporate relations ��of the group “RUSH” Dmitry Timofeev, the developers can’t get Bank loans to replenish working capital, since their results are not consistent with the special rules of their funding.While workers adjust to existing measures to help the industry, the authorities are developing an additional package of support, as reported yesterday by Vice-Premier Marat Khusnullin, we are talking about the reduction of administrative barriers. “As a result of these measures, overall construction investment cycle in the construction site will be reduced by at least one year,” the official explained.Eugene Kryuchkov
